WinguAfric.com Free Subscription News Portal following African Geopolitical Trends, Capital Markets & African International Political Economy
NY Analysis Policy Government: Russian Pullout Syria, Kurdish Federalism & Obama's strategic deficit
Total Intelligence Brief: Syria
American Center Democracy
Dr. Leon Aron AEI
N.Y. Analysis of policy & government editor in chief frank vernuccio: U.s. foreign policy, civil-military relations, defense acquisition reform & Russia
Frank Vernuccio: Editor in Chief N.Y. Analysis of Policy Government, An Open Source Intelligence Platform Covering Foreign & Domestic U.S. Policy http://usagovpolicy.com
President Obama's minimum foreign policy responses to growing global threats, defense acquisition reform, defense budget & Russian containment policy. (excuse minute 11, technical difficulty 15 seconds.)
Council on Foreign Relations NYC: India Portfolio http://www.cfr.org/region/india/ri230
Dr. Alyssa Ayres Authority on Indian Political Economy http://www.cfr.org/experts/india-pakistan-economic-development/alyssa-ayres/b9237
Gateway House, India's Council on Foreign Affairs http://www.gatewayhouse.in
e-International Affairs Journal Thatcherization of India's Foreign Policy http://www.e-ir.info/2015/10/26/the-thatcherization-of-indias-foreign-policy/
Defeating the islamic state in 15 minutes: Professor Christopher kolenda former pentagon advisor, undersecretary of defense policy for afpak.
Professor Christopher D. Kolenda is President & CEO of Kolenda Strategic Leadership LLC, a Senior Military Fellow at King's College London. Advisor & Strategist on Afghanistan, Pakistan to Undersecretary of Defense for Policy.
Webpage & Article on Defeating The Islamic State http://kolendastrategicleadership.com/defeating-isis-begins-by-recognizing-a-sunni-arab-state/
Five current unpleasant realities:
1. The Islamic State is a pro-to Sunni Arab state controlling massive territory.
2. Currently, a proto-Kurdish State currently exits.
3. Neither Assad, nor Iraqi (Shia dominated) is going to win battle for legitimacy.
4. Both regimes are Shia dominated &
5. Assad's regime cannot be defeated as long at it receives Russian/Iranian assistance.
Professor Kolenda's policy is to reverse these trends while providing longterm regional security.
Pakistan's national counter-terror authority: mastermind terrorist saeed, military tribunals, rule of law, normalizing relations with india
Khawaja Khalid Farooq: Pakistan's National Counter-Terror Director Speaks
BBC TV Interview: http://www.bbc.co.uk/programmes/n3cstlf4
International Institute for Strategic Studies Video England http://www.iiss.org/en/events/events/archive/2012-4a49/july-70c4/is-pakistan-viable-fa61#.VjT7IF6EYMU.mailto
"Is Pakistan Viable" Article: http://tns.thenews.com.pk/search-security/#.U1N2X1WSzPk
"In Search of Security" The News on Sunday http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/opinion/09-Jun-2015/karachi-s-counter
"Revamping Pakistan's Police" Daily Times Pakistan http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/opinion/29-Sep-2015/revamping-karachi-s-police
"Terrorist Financing in Pakistan" Daily Times Pakistan http://www.dailytimes.com.pk/opinion/14-Jul-2015/nap-and-terrorism-financing
1. How best to strengthen an emerging civil society?
2. Is Imran Khan handled by the security establishment?
3. How best to characterize civil-military relations.
4. How does Pakistan build an independent judiciary.
5. The Army contributed to contemporary dysfunctional political economy, how is it resolved.
6. Why does Hafiz Saeed remain free?
7. Do military tribunals help Sharif's government.
8. How does Pakistan handle sectarian issues.
9. The emerging threat between ISIS & Pashtun militancy is growing, how is it resolved.
10. Geopolitically, Pakistan is a petroleum corridor, does this help or hurt its political leadership.
11. What is preventing normalized relations with New Delhi.
100th Anniversary of Birth of Irish Republic beginning in 1916. Dr. Niall Holohan's article from Irish Times http://www.irishtimes.com/opinion/easter-rising-should-be-seen-as-start-of-ongoing-civil-war-1.2304863
The Irish Times Century Project http://www.irishtimes.com/culture/heritage/century
The Irish Times Century Project 100 Years Revolution http://www.irishtimes.com/culture/heritage/century/century-revolution
Secret Police Files Northern Ireland http://www.irishtimes.com/news/ireland/irish-news/secret-police-files-relating-to-easter-rising-released-1.2233325
Audio: Dr. Audrey Kortunov, Director General Russia's international affairs council moscow, syrian intervention
Dr. Henry Nau: ronald reagan's director national security council, contemporary threats & US Statecraft; book conservative internationalism
Amazon Conservative Internationalism http://amzn.com/0691159319
Questions: Previous Presidential administrations never had our technological advance, how can the maintenance of Empire teach the State Department about armed diplomacy.
State is run like an unelected monolithic fiefdom demanding fealty, what framework should be applied to reform State & how would immediate future Presidents manage disabling bureaucratic conflict during the application of Statecraft.
How do 24 hour networks and the culture war impact Diplomacy.
How best do we characterize the entrenched institutional dysfunction of numerous Cabinet level agencies prior to the Iraqi Surge that fatally weakened US threat deterrent. Why does this happen?
Can State handle a culture war with Islam? What role does Presidential Statecraft have in engaging State so that IT functions.
How does the R.M.A. (revolution in military affairs) hurt traditional diplomacy in the maintenance of alliances. (How much of this can be identified with 'Blue Water vs. Continental Strategy'.)
Concerning Reagan's Statecraft: Why was Kissenger ignored?
How would immediate future Presidents employ your book (Conservative Internationalism) for policy resolution regarding our most intractable conflicts (Pashtun intransigence, Pakistani nuclear posture/doctrines, Indian - Pakistani rivalry & contemporary Syria.)
How would Conservative Internationalism address the liberalization of China's Capital/Current Account.
Regarding the near nuclear parity of Islamic monarchies throughout the Gulf, how would Conservative Internationalism achieve balance.
Regarding managing Reagan's National Security Council: Dr. Jeane Kirkpatrick & Ed Meese had a physical shoving match over Church/Boland Amendments relative to Iran - Contra; can you speak to how your book would bring conceptual clarity to deliberate Constitutional ambiguities regarding separation of powers doctrine. Can you address how liberal progressive political doctrines exacerbate civil-miltitary relations, hollowing out any effective deployment of Statecraft.
Pakistan's Prime Minister Nawaz Sharif resides in his third term after arriving from exile in Saudi Arabia. The nation is besieged from internal political problems of governance related to foreign exchange reserves, monetary regimes and failed infrastructure evidenced in this summers deadly heat wave accompanied by inflation, commodity spikes, inefficient electrical grids and deteriorating bi-laterial relations with long standing allies.
BREAKING NEWS: Peshawar Attacked AGAIN by Terror Proxies http://www.dawn.com/news/1207975/afghanistan-based-ttp-men-sneak-into-peshawar-storm-paf-camp
U.K. Guardian http://www.theguardian.com/commentisfree/2014/sep/02/pakistani-politics-nawaz-sharif-imran-khan-army
New York Times page on Nawaz Sharif http://topics.nytimes.com/top/reference/timestopics/people/s/nawaz_sharif/index.html
Dawn Pakistan http://www.dawn.com/news/1207890/an-insidious-agenda
Times of India Homepage of Nawaz Sharif http://timesofindia.indiatimes.com/topic/Nawaz-Sharif
Dr. Killcullen C.O.I.N. specialists on imminent collapse of Pakistan & need for regional multilateral alliances originating from Islamabad http://www.ostomaan.org/articles/news-and-views/18076
The New Asian Observer on Pakistan http://www.asiaobserver.org/main-news-on-pakistan-2
Failed States Index http://library.fundforpeace.org/library/cfsir1423-fragilestatesindex2014-06d.pdf
Dr. George Du Bois http://amzn.com/149074505X author of Dangerous Resentments. Authority on Sinic Civilization, book chronicles historical dynasties of China's 4,000 year old Civilization.
John Batchelor Radio Show on the Demise of the Chinese Economic Miracle: http://johnbatchelorshow.com/podcasts/wed-8515-hr-1-jbs-gordon-chang-forbescom-anne-stevenson-yang-j-capital-research-alan
John Batchelor Radio Show: China, Failed Economy Threatens Communist Rule http://johnbatchelorshow.com/blog/2015/video-game-thrones
Simon Winchester Amazon http://amzn.com/0060884614
Ancient China & Indigenous Science Joseph Needham's Volumes Science & Civilization in China at the Joseph Needham Institute http://www.nri.org.uk/introduction.html
Richard Bernstein http://amzn.com/0307595889.
Best book on the policy origins of how the U.S. lost China beginning in 1945.
Chris Kolenda, CEO of Kolenda Strategic Leadership http://kolendastrategicleadership.com
Former Senior Advisor to 3 Commanders of International Forces Afghanistan & two Under Secretaries of Defense for U.S. Policy.
Amazon http://amzn.com/0970968213 & Author's Page http://www.amazon.com/Christopher-D.-Kolenda/e/B0092XFHZ4/ref=dp_byline_cont_book_1
Foreign Policy Magazine article 'Saffron Revolution 2018' PDF here below:
Amrita Jash Doctoral Research Scholar, Chinese Division, Centre for East Asian Studies, School of International Affairs, Jawaharlal Nehru University New Delhi, India.
Map South China Sea: http://paragkhanna.com/wp-content/uploads/2014/05/south-china-sea.jpg
Gateway House, India's Premiere Foreign Policy Think Tank: http://www.gatewayhouse.in/india-china-and-the-south-china-sea/
Council on Foreign Relations: PDF Revising U.S. Grand Strategy Toward China http://www.cfr.org/china/revising-us-grand-strategy-toward-china/p36371
Foreign Policy Institute: http://www.foreignpolicyi.org/content/fpi-bulletin-can-china-make-world-safe-authoritarianism
The Weekly Standard: U.S. Policy of Containing China http://www.weeklystandard.com/articles/toward-free-and-democratic-china_941091.html?page=1
Academia.edu page Amrita Jash https://jawaharlalanehrunewdelhiindia.academia.edu/AmritaJash
John Batchelor Radio Show, Interview Dr. Michael Vlahos, China Belligerence in South China Sea http://johnbatchelorshow.com/podcasts/fri-6515-hr-3-jbs-michael-vlahos-johns-hopkins-jerry-hendrix-center-new-american-security
historical sources of chinese vulnerability & threat u.s. deflation has on beijing's political security & its global geo-political ambitions.
Brendan O'Reilly International Relations Authority, Regional Specialization Chinese Foreign Policy.
Published http://chineserelations.net , The Diplomat article 'The Implications of Chinese Growth Slowdown http://thediplomat.com/2015/02/the-implications-of-chinas-growth-slowdown/
World Review article on Afghanistan http://www.worldreview.info/content/security-key-chinas-afghan-treasure-hunt
Dr. Enrico Colombatto Director of Research for Fiscal/Economic Studies Luxembourg & Paris
resides at University of Turin, Italy.
Article from World Review on China's New Bank Rivaling IMF & World Bank, the Asian Investment Infrastructure Bank (AIIB) http://www.worldreview.info/content/chinas-aiib-could-help-global-infrastructure-projects?autoplay=1
Curriculum Vitae http://www.independent.org/aboutus/person_detail.asp?id=592
Institute for Research in Economics & Fiscal Issues Paris & Luxembourg http://en.irefeurope.org/Institute-and-Experts,a0105
Mahin Siddiqui Associate at Gulf Intelligence in Dubai, a Strategic Communications & Strategy boutique and leading Think Tank http://thegulfintelligence.com
Mahin Siddiqui's analysis reveals an emerging threat to Pakistan coming from the movement of the Islamic State east toward Kabul. Given its myriad social, ethnic and religious plurality, Pakistan is the next logical step for the Islamic State.
Siddiqui's policy resolution is sophisticated, yet grounded in realism: Pakistan's political leadership should seek to reintegrate Pakistan into regional markets to secure a favorable growth strategy, effectively confronting the Islamic State with a strong national Pakistani identity with functioning markets, new capital, and growth, allocating policy flexibility to an emerging threat environment.
Linkedin Featured Article https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/20141123123307-245098892-the-isis-threat-pakistan-follows-iraq?trk=prof-post
Pakistan's security environment is rapidly changing, numerous ideological, ethnic and confessional conflicts are emerging that can rapidly destabilize, even isolate Pakistan's traditional threat assessment framework. The Prime Ministers inability to influence or contribute to King Salaman portends to embody a 'perfect storm' for Islamabad.
Q1. What concrete resources can Army leadership field to preserve its regional interests in a rapidly changing environment.
Q2. The I.M.F. assessment of Pakistan's weak and faltering political economy mired in intransigent reform contributes to Pakistan's social, political instability. Is the Army ready to permit civilian supremacy & reform, whose strength can contribute to State resources helping leadership address growing subnational, regional conflicts that could envelop Islamabad.
Q3. What policy can Islamabad field to counter a rapidly militant column of indigenous Shia favorable to Teheran.
Q4. A new patron in Beijing portends that Pakistan seeks to prevent isolation, what role does Beijing play for Islamabad's security interests.
The paradox of Russian Civilization begs for clarity & resolution: Russian foreign policy has historically been informed by its geographic vastness, however, contemporary technological developments eliminate the dominant role geography, effectively elevating the nature of the political regime to primacy.
Q1. Crimea, Ukraine, & NATO OBSCURE dominant trends that portend a weak Muscovy. How does Russia fix is dangerously low demography.
Q2. Russia deployed hybrid force posture to Ukraine so as to not trip NATO article 5. Your modernization plans have failed. How does Russia accomplish force modernization while repudiating capitalist/market based approach.
Q3. Edmund Burke's 'little platoons', his euphemism for the supremacy of civil society over 'the State' remains the final bulwark against tyranny. Is AUTOCRACY the final regime for Russia?
Q4. How to fix a floating Rubble w/o embracing efforts to diversify Russian political economy.
Q5. German self-consciousness is still paralyzed from WWII. Has Russia read U.S. & German leadership correctly?
Q6. What permeant Russian interests are served by underwriting Iranian objectives?
Q7. What are the sources of renewal for Russian Civilization.
Dr. Timothy Furnish: Islamic World Subject Matter Expert on Islamic Eschatology & Trans-National Islamic Movements discusses Jalalabad's terrorist bombing, the changing threat environment emerging throughout the Subcontinent from the Islamic States eastward movement.
Q1. Does Jalalabad's terrorist bombing change the Subcontinents calculations about terror proxies.
Q2. Is there a role for India?
Q3. Is there a "perfect storm" brewing, an ideologically driven sectarian conflict enveloping trans-nationally?
Q4. Who possess the best intelligence regionally?
Q5. Who takes the lead from Islamabad to counter the Islamic State in the Subcontinent?
Q6. How does the U.S. deal with a Pakistani nuclear umbrella for the Saudi's?
Q7. How best does the U.S. lead on countering the appeal to Islamic militancy?
Manoj Rawat: Wikistrat south east asian analyst on ecumenical evacuation of nationals from yemen. New Delhi leads from east africa.
Wikistrat's Senior South Asian Policy Analyst, Former Directorate of Naval Operations New Delhi on scale & character of India's rescue operations for numerous Nationals moving west from Yemeni capital of Sanaa under heavy bombardment from Riyadh.
Dr. Sohail Mahmood Dean & Professor of International Relations in Islamabad on Saudi Arabia's Lead Building Sunni Coalition Against Iran In Southwest Yemen.
1. What did King Salaman from Riyadh want from Pakistan, why couldn't Pakistan deliver?
2. Is Iran strengthened by sectarian regional conflict?
3. How does Pakistan balance its interests by Abstaining?
4. How does Air-Power defeat Iranian advantage in light infantry?
Q1: What did indigenous Russian War Planners find when they probed modernization plans?
Q2: Ukrainian War Plan emphasized rapid deployment & special forces, positivist orientation to avoid tripping NATO Article 5, why has this conflict devolved into an 'old war'?
Q3: What did Russia learn from its 2nd Chechen Conflict regarding interoperability & permanent readiness?
Q4: How does Russia fix its poor state of avionics, guidance munitions weaponry, antiquated tanks and poor armament without damaging its autocratic institutions?
Q5: How can Russian war planners parry the impact of 700K+ draft on its society?
Q6: Are their alternatives to embracing a western/capitalist 'market based' industrial reforms for armaments?
Q7: The components of Russia's Central Bank portfolio is heavily foreign denominated debt, collapsing Russian dollar and exhausted foreign reserves. How does Putin avoid implosion.
Dr. Stefan Hedlund Uppsala Center for Russian/Eurasian Affairs, an authority on Russian strategy, Russian Political Economy http://www.stefanhedlund.com
Question 1-minute 5:45: Pakistan's Nuclear Ballistic Missile Shaheen III (range 1,700km)
Q2. At minute 5:45: The Reform of Pakistan's Energy Markets/Price Stability
Q3. Minute 10: The Relevancy of Khan's Populist Rhetoric
Q4. Minute 14: Has Iran co-opted Pakistan's Shia population
Q5. Minute 19: Normalize Relations with India to address Pakistan's own insufficient political cultural development.
Q6: Minute 22: Pakistan's Prime Minister's piecemeal legal approach to Civilian Supremacy, how is it sufficient?
Q7: Why did Prime Minister's approach to Civil-Military Reform pursue a positivist, legal approach?
Q8: Historically, the 'Core' of Pakistan's commitment to Islamist proxies through ISI is Army dominance of ethnic Pashtun/Punjabi ethos of militancy. Can this be reconciled with Jinnah's vision of a Republic? Can this ethos of intransigence be reconciled to modernity?
Q9: What can the U.S. do to assist Pakistan's trajectory toward civilian supremacy?
Questions & Time
Minute 1-4: Q1. Cold War is over and Pakistan's continuing conflict with India has NOT paid any dividends. An archaic cultural militancy underwriting the supremacy of the Army must be replaced to fortify Jinnah's vision of a Republic. How does the Army & ISI succeed in this initiative?
Minute 4:16: Q2. Can Pakistan's military institutions acknowledge an emerging civil society whose spheres of autonomy aren't necessarily Islamic? What would this policy or cultural change require?
Minute 7-12: Q3. What conditions wold strengthen an independent judiciary?
Minute 9:40: Q4. What concrete role does India play in a newly emerging Pakistani Republic?
Minute 12:20: Q5. Army leadership has demonstrated total ignorance, absolutely no competency in running a political economy. What has it learned?
Minute 15:50: Q6. The Mughal Empire & Medieval Islam both possessed intellectual, cultural affinity for modernity. What replaces the primacy of kinship in Pakistan's domesticated socio-political relations to fortify a Republic?
Minute 21:15: Q7. Pakistan is easily isolated (ideologically), its relations with China & Iran reveal an expediency. What characterizes permanent Pakistani interests with China & Iran.
Minute 26: Q8. Pakistan's political economy isn't functional. What replaces the subsidies preventing price discovery, market capitalization & sound markets? What replaces the dynastic 'rent-seeking' that sustains dysfunction? What ideas of reforming Pakistan have currency so as to introduce foreign direct investment?
Minute 30: Q9. If Pashtun/Punjabi intransigence is to be confronted; if the culture fortifying terrorism is to be eliminated, then new ideas must be introduced into Pakistan's political culture. What ideas resonate among Pakistan's political class?
Persian Authority, International Relations Expert Amir Taheri http://www.familysecuritymatters.org/publications/detail/an-opening-in-afghanistan-kabuls-deal-with-pakistan
U.S. Leading Foreign Relations Expert on Pakistan Daniel S. Markey http://amzn.com/1107623596
Stratfor Global Intelligence https://www.stratfor.com/weekly/20110914-evolution-pakistans-militant-networks
The Friday Times Pakistan http://www.thefridaytimes.com/tft/
Arthur Herman http://nypost.com/2012/07/09/dont-blame-just-bam-for-pakistan/
Pakistan's Political Economy Sadanand Dhume https://www.aei.org/author/sadanand-dhume/
Former Pakistani Ambassador to U.S. Husain Haqqani Publications http://amzn.com/0870032143
Amazon Author Page Husain Haqqani: http://www.amazon.com/Husain-Haqqani/e/B001JS7GTA
Ahmed Rashid Authority on Sub-Continent History, International Relations http://www.ahmedrashid.com
Aatish Taseer 'Why My Father Hated India' WSJ http://www.wsj.com/articles/SB10001424052702304911104576445862242908294
Dr. Farzana Shaikh World's Leading Authority on Pakistan. Her Professional Page at London's Premiere Foreign Relations Think Tank Chatham House http://www.chathamhouse.org/about-us/directory/70652 her best publication on Pakistan http://amzn.com/023114962X
Chatham House, Pakistan (Series) http://www.chathamhouse.org/about/structure/asia-programme/pakistan-project
IIhan Niaz 'The Culture of Power & Governance of Pakistan 1947-2008' http://amzn.com/0195477316
Dr. Aparna Pande Hudson Institute, D.C.; Southwest Asian Authority http://www.hudson.org/experts/599-aparna-pande Her latest is 'Explaining Pakistan's Foreign Policy: Escaping India' http://amzn.com/0415599008
Imtiaz Gul Journalist & Regional Authority http://www.imtiazgul.com
Dr. Sohail Mahmood, Dean & Professor of International Relations Islamabad.
Pakistan & Emerging Counter-Terror Policies from Prime Minister Sharif's Administration, Emerging Military Tribunals, Changing Administrative Tactics of Khan, The Role of the Army in Institutionalizing Counter-Terror Reforms & WHY Pakistan's Political/Governing Class Permits Master Terrorist Hafiz Saeed Free Reign in Lahore