THE GREAT WHITE DEATH, EUROPE & THE DEMOGRAPHIC PLUNGE; AEI'S 60 SECOND VIDEO ON GEOGRAPHIC MOBILITY
The Role of Women in Islamic State-led Terrorism
By Isaac Kfir, The Strategist (ASPI): “Islamic scholars and terrorist groups such as Palestinian Islamic Jihad, Hamas, and al-Qaeda have debated the use of female suicide bombers. Historically, the discussion was tied to the permissibility of suicide attacks and whether individuals, as opposed to Caliphs, were entitled to declare war.”
Europeans strike deal with Libya to keep migrants in AfricaThe leaders of France, Germany, Italy and Spain struck a deal in Paris on Monday with Libyan Prime Minister Fayez al-Sarraj and the presidents of Niger and Chad to register migrants at reception centers in Africa before they can seek asylum in Europe. In exchange, the Europeans are offering large amounts of development aid. Humanitarian groups blasted the proposal as a way for Europe to keep the migration crisis “out of sight, out of mind.”
‘Doctrine of De-Moscovication’: A Russian demographer has proposed transferring his country’s capital to an area nearer China, Japan and South Korea, which he calls the center of the world’s geo-economic map, Inga Velanskayawrites. Yury Krupnov, the head of the Supervisory Board of the Institute for Demographics, Migration and Regional Development, argues that the development of Russia’s Far East and Siberia regions is hindered because the country’s population, finances, resources and economic development is concentrated around Moscow. “Putin said that the country’s Far East should become an absolute priority for us for the entire 21st century,” Krupnov said. “And this reflects our realities, because our Far East is located in the very heart of the modern geo-economic map. It is next-door to China, South Korea and Japan, and the US is just across the ocean.” READ THE STORY HERE
"Russia is dying from within. Oligarchs and oil barons may still dominate international news coverage, but their prosperity masks a deep-rooted demographic tragedy. Faced with staggering population decline—and near-certain economic collapse—driven by toxic levels of alcohol abuse, Russia is also battling a deeper sickness: a spiritual one, born out of the country’s long totalitarian experiment.
In The Last Man in Russia, award-winning journalist Oliver Bullough uses the tale of a lone priest to give life to this national crisis. Father Dmitry Dudko, a dissident Orthodox Christian, was thrown into a Stalinist labor camp for writing poetry. Undaunted, on his release in the mid-1950s he began to preach to congregations across Russia with little concern for his own safety. At a time when the Soviet government denied its subjects the prospect of advancement, and turned friend against friend and brother against brother, Dudko urged his followers to cling to hope. He maintained a circle of sacred trust at the heart of one of history’s most deceitful systems. But as Bullough reveals, this courageous group of believers was eventually shattered by a terrible act of betrayal—one that exposes the full extent of the Communist tragedy. Still, Dudko’s dream endures. Although most Russians have forgotten the man himself, the embers of hope that survived the darkness are once more beginning to burn.
Leading readers from a churchyard in Moscow to the snow-blanketed ghost towns of rural Russia, and from the forgotten graves of Stalin’s victims to a rock festival in an old gulag camp, The Last Man in Russia is at once a travelogue, a sociological study, a biography, and a cri de coeur for a dying nation—one that, Bullough shows, might yet be saved."
China’s Great Migration: How the Poor Built a Prosperous Nation by Bradley M. Gardner.
China’s rise over the past several decades has lifted more than half of its population out of poverty and reshaped the global economy. What has caused this dramatic transformation? In China’s Great Migration: How the Poor Built a Prosperous Nation, author Bradley Gardner looks at one of the most important but least discussed forces pushing China’s economic development: the migration of more than 260 million people from their birthplaces to China’s most economically vibrant cities. By combining an analysis of China’s political economy with current scholarship on the role of migration in economic development, China’s Great Migration shows how the largest economic migration in the history of the world has led to a bottom-up transformation of China.
Gardner draws from his experience as a researcher and journalist working in China to investigate why people chose to migrate and the social and political consequences of their decisions. In the aftermath of China's Cultural Revolution, the collapse of totalitarian government control allowed millions of people to skirt migration restrictions and move to China’s growing cities, where they offered a massive pool of labor that propelled industrial development, foreign investment, and urbanization. Struggling to respond to the demands of these migrants, the Chinese government loosened its grip on the economy, strengthening property rights and allowing migrants to employ themselves and each other, spurring the Chinese economic miracle.
More than simply a narrative of economic progress, China’s Great Migration tells the human story of China’s transformation, featuring interviews with the men and women whose way of life has been remade. In its pages, readers will learn about the rebirth of a country and millions of lives changed, hear what migration can tell us about the future of China, and discover what China’s development can teach the rest of the world about the role of market liberalization and economic migration in fighting poverty and creating prosperity.
PRC depopulation and disorder & What is to be done. Gregory Copley Defense & Foreign Affairs. @gordongchang
"...So, then, what are the characteristics of the emerging framework, and how can we plan for it? First, the characteristics:
· The core populations of “advanced industrial societies” are already reducing dramatically, a factor disguised by inward migration and urbanization, dramatically affecting the nature, political patterns, and efficiencies of these societies3;
· The overall global population of the world is tipping toward substantial decline within the coming decades, as reproduction rates decline even in Africa and South Asia4;
· Declining core population levels in major industrial states, in particular, compounds the transformation of economies, particularly urban-dominated economies, which rely on real estate valuations to generate credit. In other words, perceived economic value is reduced.
Bearing in mind that asset values represent the core leveraging for fundraising and for taxation, this will in turn diminish R&D and project funding, will lead to greater debt financing and currency creation, inflation, and ultimately greater protectionism and systemic collapse, unless alternate economic models are created (ie: not dependent upon increasing consumer scale);
· The reality is that the possibilities of linear extrapolation of current technologies or the creation of sufficient breakthrough technologies are unlikely to occur because of transformations of population and economic patterns5;
· The transformation of societies and power balances will result in a continuation of the pattern of declining prestige of, and trust in governments, requiring governments to engage in more systemic suppression of populations in order to sustain order.
“Democracy”, in other words and as we knew it a half-century ago or even 20 years ago, is dead, although the word will be used increasingly to legitimize authoritarian governance, and “political correctness”. It is also critical to recognize that prestige and trust — psychological values — also determine the viability of currency and credit systems, with a “crisis of trust” leading toward greater caution in trade. In this context, it is worth remembering that internal disarray in any society creates a distraction or vacuum which allows other societies to flourish. Internal disarray also often causes leaders to lash out at external distractions in the hope of clinging longer to power;
· The great tool of “gross domestic product” (GDP) as a means of determining viability has already become brutish, imprecise, infinitely variable in its interpretation, and underpinned by the shifting sands of currencies of questionable prestige. Moreover, GDP was designed to fit the rigid structure of the post-World War II-defined “modern Westphalian state”, something which, by the early 21st Century, the urban societies were anxious to dismiss.
Vitiating the sovereign nation-state reduces (or eradicates) the meaning of GDP and other standards of wealth/power measurement. Whither, then, the objectivity of economic planning?"
Marriage, penalized: Does social-welfare policy affect family formation?
Joseph Price, Angela Rachidi, and W. Bradford Wilcox | AEI and Institute for Family StudiesThe expanding reach of the welfare state means that a substantial share of lower-middle-class couples with children receive some kind of means-tested government assistance and many of these couples receive more generous support if they are unmarried. The authors find that these marriage penalties have a role in family formation in that they may discourage marriage among lower-middle-class families but not among the poorest families.