Nicholas Eberstadt and Peter Van Ness | AEIdeas
According to the UN Population Division (UNPD), China’s population has peaked and began shrinking earlier this year. Nicholas Eberstadt and Peter Van Ness explain that China’s rate of population decline is projected to accelerate, marking a major reassessment of China’s demographic outlook. Previously, the UNPD did not envision China’s population peaking until 2031. The driver hastening China’s population decline is plunging Chinese childbearing—a tendency that predated the COVID-19 pandemic. These revisions should be only the beginning of a reassessment of what we know about China’s population, and they should offer a cautionary note about the reliability of other quantitative information about China. Learn more here >>
Hal Brands | Bloomberg Opinion
The controversy over Nancy Pelosi’s (D-CA) proposed visit to Taiwan is just a part of the standard arm wrestling between Beijing and Washington over Taiwan’s place in the world. But there may be something deeper in President Joe Biden’s anxiety about a potential Taiwan crisis: a realization that America’s China policy is courting dangers the US isn’t ready to handle, notes Hal Brands. The problem is that Washington’s China rhetoric has overtaken its China policy, and the US is badly positioned for a prospective crisis over Taiwan. Amid a protracted proxy war in Ukraine, Washington is bound to be on its back foot if mayhem erupts elsewhere. Read More >>